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Akintoye, A and Skitmore, M R (1994) Models of UK private sector quarterly construction demand. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 3-14.

Carrillo, P M (1994) Technology transfer: a survey of international construction companies. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 45-51.

Duff, A R, Robertson, I T, Phillips, R A and Cooper, M D (1994) Improving safety by the modification of behaviour. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 67-78.

Fortune, C and Skitmore, M R (1994) Quantification skills in the construction industry. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 79-88.

Khalid, G (1994) Obsolescence in hedonic price estimation of the financial impact of commercial office buildings: the case of Kuala Lumpur. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 37-44.

Laufer, A, Tucker, R L, Shapira, A and Shenhar, A J (1994) The multiplicity concept in construction project planning. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 53-65.

Ranasinghe, M (1994) Quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 15-29.

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: activity duration; network; probability; uncertainty
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0144-6193
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/01446199400000003
  • Abstract:

    This paper develops a theoretical basis for three issues that are important in the quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks. Firstly, the uncertainty in activity durations is quantified. Secondly, the quantification of uncertainty in project duration is developed. Thirdly, how these quantifications can be used for allocation and management of contingency in activity durations is demonstrated. A published numerical example is used to illustrate the application of this development to a construction project. While this idea challenges the popular longest path (PERT) approach, it provides a robust theoretical foundation and introduces a logical framework to the quantification and management of uncertainty in activity duration networks.

Tah, J H M, Thorpe, A and McCaffer, R (1994) A survey of indirect cost estimating in practice. Construction Management and Economics, 12(01), 31-6.